Weekly Market Commentary | 17.04 – 23.04

Curious to know what’s happening on the markets this week? Take a quick tour of the latest news, economic updates, and trading setups that will keep you up-to-date and in the know.
Monday>
- The new week starts without any fireworks as the only tier one data will be the Emprise State Manufacturing Index expected to come at -17.7
Tuesday>
- Tuesday will start with the GDP number from China, where a growth of 3.9% is expected
- Before the start of the European session, we will learn the Claimant Count Change from the UK
- The day will finish with the CPI data from Canada and a speech by the BoC Governor Macklem later on
Wednesday>
- Wednesday will bring about the inflation number from the UK, where we are expecting a drop to 9.8%
- We will also learn the inflation number from the Eurozone, but this will be the final reading which almost always comes in line with expectations
Thursday>
- Thursday is a continuation of the inflation numbers releasing - this time from New Zealand, where analysts are expecting a small rise to 1.5%
- We will also get the usual unemployment claims from the US and an unusual speech No 2 from the BoC Governor Macklem
Friday>
- We can call this Friday a PMI day as we will find out the Manufacturing and Services PMIs from Australia, France, Germany, Eurozone, the UK and US
- In addition to that, retail sales data from the UK and Canada will be published
 
Setups for This Week:
 
USDCAD

Primary View:

Last week, the USDCAD broke a long-term key dynamic support, the blue up-trendline
This triggers a proper signal to sell

Alternative View:

If the price comes back above the up-trendline, the sell signal will be canceled, but chances of that are limited

USDCADDaily.png
 
EURJPY

Primary View:

The EURJPY had an amazing week with the price triggering a long-term buy signal
The optimism stems from the fact that the price escaped a big symmetric triangle pattern (black)
Soon, we should see the EURJPY on new, long-term highs

Alternative View:

The rise is quite stretched and at some point, we should also get a bearish correction. The main up-trend should remain intact

EURJPYDaily.png

Brent Oil

Primary View:

Last week, the price escaped this sideways move (yellow), created after the OPEC+ output cut
The price breached the horizontal resistance on the 87 USD/bbl (orange) but, apparently, the breakout was false (green)
As long as we stay below the highs from the previous week, the sentiment remains negative

Alternative View:

Oil climbing back above the green area will be a signal to go long

BRENTH4.png
 
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