Weekly Market Commentary | 20.11 – 26.11

Weekly Market Commentary | 20.11 – 26.11
Curious to know what’s happening on the markets this week? Take a quick tour of the latest news, economic updates, and trading setups that will keep you up-to-date and in the know!
  • A soft start of the week with no major economic data releases.
  • Key event: A speech by the Bank of England Governor Bailey anticipated during the late hours of the American session.
  • Meeting minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia set to be released.
  • Canada's inflation figures are on the radar, with a forecast of 0.2% monthly increase.
  • U.S. existing home sales data expected & predicted at 3.9 million.
  • FOMC meeting minutes, unusually scheduled for Tuesday, will be closely watched.
  • The day begins with a speech by the Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Bullock.
  • Unemployment claims from the US published earlier than usual due to Thanksgiving on Thursday.
  • Revised University of Michigan consumer sentiment in the U.S., anticipated to be around 61.1.
  • European PMIs of key economies (Eurozone, France, Germany, UK) expected to fall below the 50 mark.
  • American markets closed for Thanksgiving Day.
  • Focus shifts to Germany's IFO business climate index.
  • ECB President Lagarde scheduled to speak.
  • Retail sales data from Canada.
  • US PMIs wrap up the week: Manufacturing PMI expected at 49.5 and Services PMI at 50.4.
Setups for This Week:
  • Primary View:
    • NASDAQ encountered a crucial horizontal resistance at 15,900 points, a peak previously seen in mid-July.
    • The market showed a reaction with a bounce off this level, raising anticipation for future movements.
    • A successful breakout above this resistance (yellow line) would be a strong indicator of a buying opportunity.
  • Alternative View:
    • Remaining below this 15,900-point threshold suggests a potential short-term selling opportunity or profit-taking window.
  • Primary View:
    • The AUDUSD has recently made a significant move by breaking through the resistance just above the 0.65 (orange line).
    • Staying above this broken resistance solidifies a bullish stance, indicating a solid buy signal.
  • Alternative View:
    • A reversal below the 0.65 level (orange area) would switch the sentiment to bearish, serving as a cue for selling.
  • Primary View:
    • The EURGBP has successfully surpassed a key horizontal resistance at 0.874 (green line).
    • Maintaining a position above this level keeps the bullish momentum alive, validating a buy signal.
  • Alternative View:
    • Should the pair fall back below the 0.874 mark, it would negate the bullish outlook and act as a trigger for selling.
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