Executing Precision Forex Entry Timing
Apart from knowing what it is all about, traders should also develop a rule-based, step-by-step process to conduct a proper multiple time frame Forex analysis. Let’s outline a 3-step process for a template and then provide some case studies for better understanding. It is best practice to start with the longer-term trend analysis on the higher time frame, then switch to a medium-term to validate the trading setup, and only then switch to the short-term time frame for the entry trigger.
Step 1. Long-term trend direction
Longer-term time frames such as daily and weekly provide a good sense of the overall situation and help in seeing the bigger picture. Traders typically apply indicators like 100 and 200 EMAs (Exponential Moving Average) to spot macro trends and evaluate how current price action is interacting with the ongoing trend. If the moving averages are consolidating it might indicate pullbacks and strong trends occur when the two EMAs start to move apart.
Step 2. Medium-term setup validation
The medium-term timeframe is where you identify your trading setups and patterns. This is where the main work lies. Traders use time frames like 4-hour and 1-hour to detect key support and resistance levels and draw them on the chart. Here you can also employ tools like Fibonacci levels to detect high-probability setups at 61.8% level.
Step 3. Short-term entry trigger
MTFA traders typically employ 5-15 min charts for entries. They might use various setups like candlestick reversal patterns, continuation patterns, pin bars, engulfing candles, and so on. Another way would be to use oscillators as a final confirmation of a trading signal.
Practical examples
Let’s take an example of a USD/CAD currency pair. We would start with the daily chart where we spotted a price breakdown of a recent support level at 1.3310. We switch to a 4-hour chart to confirm the bearish channel break setup. Since the next resistance is 1.3210 we wait for its retest. Then by switching to a 1-hour chart, we use patterns like a bearish flag to confirm short entries with a tight stop-loss as a result of using a shorter time frame rather than the daily. This is just a theoretical scenario and every trader should use their preferred patterns and confirmations for confirming entries.
Which is the Most Profitable Multi Time Frame Strategy?
Many different strategies could be enhanced by using multiple time frame analyses. There is no one single best multi time frame strategy as this technique can be combined with any viable strategy to enhance the win rate and reduce noise. Let’s consider two useful methods to make the most out of MTFA.
Strategy 1. Triple-screen system
This system is a simple but powerful setup of three screens. Here is how to setup it:
- Screen 1. Detecting the major trend on a weekly time frame using the MACD or moving averages to define directional bias.
- Screen 2. This is for momentum analysis using the 4-hour or 1-hour chart and employing stochastic for overbought and oversold levels or support and resistance levels.
- Screen 3. Lower time frame like 30-minute for confirming entries for better precision.
Many traders have multiple computer monitors, but it can be done using a single screen as well. You can set several windows of the same pair like EUR/USD side by side in platforms like MT4 and 5, and set each of the pair time frames to a different one and switch between those. Surely, it is also possible to use the same window and switch between timeframes using the top-down method mentioned above.
Strategy 2. Swing trading confluence
Swing trading strategies enable traders to capitalize on price swings and are not dependent on trend direction. Traders typically employ EMAs (e.g.: 14,21) coupled with RSI and Fibonacci levels on a 4-hour price chart. Entry rules are simple:
- Long: Daily EMA bullish + 4H RSI >50 + pullback to Fib 38.2% support.
- Stop Loss: Below recent swing low
As we can see, when you have well-defined support and resistance levels you can easily spot the best stop-loss placement. Now, swing trading generally revolves around spotting price swings and it makes it very easy to define where your stop loss goes. Risk-reward with swing strategies is also flexible and generally 1:2 or better, meaning you expect 2-dollar potential profits for every 1-dollar risk.
Tools and Best Practices for Forex Time Frame Analysis
Essential tools for multi Forex time frame analysis include indicators like moving averages, volume profiles, and cross-time confirmation. However, everything starts with a trading platform. Advanced trading platforms like MT4, MT5, and cTrader offer all the necessary tools to implement any multi time frame strategy out there. These platforms enable traders to have several FX pair chart windows which is useful for controlling one single pair across multiple time frames. cTrader comes with a unique and super useful feature where traders can have several windows opened with different time frames and when they drag any asset in any of those windows all other windows automatically switch to that pair, ensuring quick multi time frame analysis.
Alerts
Alerts enable you to quickly be notified when predetermined conditions are met. Since it is difficult to watch price charts all the time, one good solution is to use alerts. When moving averages cross on lower time frames on a pair where the main bias is already defined, an alert will notify you about a potential setup. Almost all advanced platforms offer various alert modes such as via SMS, Email, and sound notifications.
Common mistakes to avoid when using a multi time frame strategy
Here are common mistakes made by novice traders to avoid:
- Overcomplication - Avoid using more than 3 different time frames. Analysis paralysis is a term referring to a citation where you have so many variables that it becomes difficult to make trading decisions at all.
- Ignoring higher timeframes - You always follow the bias spotted on higher time frames and not the other way around. Trading against a major trend is a big mistake and it will cost you lots of money.
- Inconsistent time frames - Stick to one combo of time frames until you have enough sample size to evaluate the viability of your method.
By sticking to a one trading setup and one set of time frames for at least 25-30 trades, you can analyze the profitability and viability of your Forex Time Frame Analysis.